Commodity Price Intelligence and Price Forecasting
Empowering Buyers with AI-Driven Commodity Price Forecasting: Tracking, analyzing, and price forecasting of raw materials, intermediates, and end-products.
Aranca supports sourcing decision-makers by providing access to a comprehensive repository of 5-10 years of historical prices, current market prices, as well as short- and long-term accurate forecasts. Leveraging real-time data and AI-driven statistical tools, we deliver actionable pricing forecasts for raw materials, intermediates, and end-products.
Our price forecasting models are delivered through interactive pricing tools powered by innovative analytics applications, accessible across all devices. With customized options for in-depth analysis and enterprise-wide access, we enable seamless exploration of historical trends, current prices, and forecasts to optimize procurement strategies.
Our Coverage
Gain a competitive edge with our customized price intelligence solution, empowering sourcing leaders to stay ahead of the market.
Commodity & Category Price Analysis
Our solution offers access to standardized, complex, niche, and specific material and category prices across key producing countries, backed by 5-10 years of historical data. By integrating with multiple databases and tools, we track diverse price indexes and trade data, delivering regular and real-time updates for specific geographies and materials to empower informed sourcing decisions.
Commodity & Category Price Forecasting
We provide AI-driven, scenario-based price forecasting using advanced statistical modeling, back-testing, and sensitivity analysis. Our solution offers short-term forecasts (monthly, quarterly, annually) for up to 3 years and long-term projections (5-10 years), tailored to category requirements.
Commodity & Category Price Trends (Historical, Current, and Forecast)
With customized options to track price rationales for specific countries, materials, and geographies, we provide qualitative insights that back our quantitative data. These insights offer quick perspectives on supply-demand dynamics, new capacities, cost drivers, demand growth, and macroeconomic factors influencing prices.
Commodity and Category Price Dashboards (Comprehensive Package with Regular updates)
Our Category Dashboards integrate historical prices, forecasts, qualitative rationales, and trends into a unified view. Updated daily, weekly, monthly, or quarterly, this all-in-one tool provides actionable insights, helping procurement professionals optimize cost management, monitor price developments, and improve strategic planning.
Solution Framework
Our comprehensive price intelligence and forecasting framework empowers category buyers with predictive analytics, enabling more informed decision-making for commodities and categories.
Aranca Advantage
Our price intelligence and forecasting solutions have helped procurement organizations achieve various goals:
Savings through Contract Negotiation: +5-30%
Aranca supports procurement teams with accurate price forecasts and trend analysis, enabling better supplier negotiations, cost reductions, and effective hedging strategies to mitigate volatility.
Reduce Price Volatility with Continuous Monitoring and Forecasting: +20-40%
Aranca enables organizations to mitigate exposure to unexpected price spikes with accurate forecasting, empowering cost control, financial stability, and predictable outcomes.
Accuracy in Spend Budgeting and Fiscal Planning: +90-95%
Aranca delivers accurate price forecasts for raw materials and commodities, empowering clients to develop precise budgets, control costs, and allocate resources effectively.
Price analysis is crucial as it enables you to navigate market complexities with informed strategies. Our price intelligence and benchmarking services are designed to assist your business in thriving in dynamic market environments.
Case Studies
A leading beauty and wellbeing company leveraged Aranca for detailed price analysis of several niche fragrance raw materials, including Di Propylene Glycol and Orange Oil. Our comprehensive solution led to 5-10% cost savings, allowing for improved price negotiations for the client.
Aranca created a price dashboard for a global conglomerate, tracking pricing trends, cost drivers, and supplier dynamics for secondary packaging. This led to 5-7% cost savings and improved procurement and risk mitigation strategies.
A multinational chemical company's inbound logistics team partnered with Aranca to benchmark spot and contractual rates for dry bulk ocean movements across 35 global lanes. By analyzing pre-carriage, carriage,and post-carriage costs, the client achieved 5-10% cost efficiency and enhanced logistics decision-making.
Recent Insights
Client Experiences
Speed, reaction, and responsiveness. The team really put a lot of effort into providing a fast result, which was key for having a successful project. We appreciate that!
- CXO from a leading FMCG companyExcellent Service! Will definitely consider for next project.
- Leading Swedish multinational pharmaceutical companyGreat interaction and good promising results. Very professional team.
- Leading European industrial products manufacturing companyHardwork and commitment. Active and positive response to feedback. We have been playing a lot with the tool and are extremely happy with the results.
- A global consumer-goods MNCDetailed analysis, deep due-diligence and as always, fast answers and very responsive to feedback. Always a pleasure working with Procurement Team.
- Sr Manager Strategy and Insights, Global CPG GiantHow long can Aranca offer price forecasts?
Aranca offers tailored short-term forecasts (monthly, quarterly, semi-annual, and annual) for up to 3 years, and long-term projections (5-10 years), delivering immediate insights and future price trends specific to your needs.
Does Aranca deliver scenario-based price forecasts?
Yes, we provide scenario analysis using weighted statistical models and sensitivity testing to simulate diverse market situations, helping you prepare for varying outcomes effectively.
Does Aranca provide price forecasts and analysis by geography and grade?
Absolutely, we offer customized price trends and forecasts by region, sub-category, index, and grade.
Can Aranca customize reports based on our requirements?
Yes, Aranca offers highly customizable solutions, including tailored reports, price dashboards, and forecasts, designed to align with your business objectives, specific geographies, categories, and preferred formats.
How frequently does Aranca update prices?
We deliver price updates tailored to your needs—daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly, semi-annual, or annual—along with periodic dashboards highlighting historical, current, and forecasted price trends.
How do we deliver price forecasts and analysis?
We provide price forecasts and analysis through detailed MS Office reports and interactive, digital dashboards for seamless access and insights.
What approach does Aranca use to gather pricing data?
We utilize 20+ commercial and industry databases, combined with direct interactions with key stakeholders across the value chain, to capture baseline prices, geographic variations, supplier trends, and market dynamics.
Can Aranca tailor dashboards and insights for niche or emerging categories / markets?
Yes, we specialize in tracking mainstream and niche categories. Our team customizes dashboards and insights to address emerging markets, including Africa and the Middle East, alternate materials, or specific industries as required.
Can Aranca demonstrate its price intelligence and forecasting capabilities?
Certainly. Schedule a complimentary consultation via our inquiry form, and we will share case studies, detailed capabilities, and address all your questions.
How do we request a proposal for a price intelligence and forecasting tool?
Email us at inquiry@aranca.com with your requirements and preferred time for a scoping call. Post-discussion, we will deliver a detailed proposal tailored to your needs.
Recent Insights
Client Experiences
Speed, reaction, and responsiveness. The team really put a lot of effort into providing a fast result, which was key for having a successful project. We appreciate that!
- CXO from a leading FMCG companyExcellent Service! Will definitely consider for next project.
- Leading Swedish multinational pharmaceutical companyGreat interaction and good promising results. Very professional team.
- Leading European industrial products manufacturing companyHardwork and commitment. Active and positive response to feedback. We have been playing a lot with the tool and are extremely happy with the results.
- A global consumer-goods MNCDetailed analysis, deep due-diligence and as always, fast answers and very responsive to feedback. Always a pleasure working with Procurement Team.
- Sr Manager Strategy and Insights, Global CPG GiantDecide Fearlessly
From startups to the Fortune 500, private equity and global financial firms, Aranca is the trusted research and advisory partner for over 2000 companies
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Decide Fearlessly
From startups to the Fortune 500, private equity and global financial firms, Aranca is the trusted research and advisory partner for over 2000 companies
Aranca is a global research analytics and advisory firm with over 20 years of experience in helping organizations take strategic business and investment decisions fearlessly and with utmost conviction.
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